S&P 500 Climbs to a 4th Straight Win as Fed’s Inflation Data Fuels Rate Cut Hopes


Last updated: August 31, 2024

S&P 500U.S. stocks wrapped up a turbulent August on a high note, buoyed by fresh data that strengthened hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September.

The S&P 500 closed out its fourth consecutive winning month, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbing 0.6% and the Nasdaq Composite gaining 1.1%.

This marked a resilient end to a volatile period, with all three major indices posting monthly gains despite earlier setbacks.

Wall Street breathed a collective sigh of relief as the latest update on the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, aligned with expectations.

The PCE, closely monitored by the Fed, showed a modest 0.2% rise in core inflation for July, in line with forecasts.

The annual rate held steady at 2.6%, matching June’s level and slightly below the 2.7% projection.

This steady inflation picture bolstered investor confidence that the Fed might be on the cusp of a policy shift, potentially trimming interest rates by 0.25% as soon as next month.

The anticipation of a Fed pivot has been simmering since Chair Jerome Powell hinted at such a move last week, and the PCE data has only reinforced those expectations.

The prospect of a gentler interest rate environment is a soothing balm for an economy that’s shown surprising strength amid global uncertainties.

Investors, who had been closely watching Nvidia’s earnings this week, shifted their focus back to broader market trends as the tech-heavy Nasdaq recovered some of the week’s losses.

Despite the Nasdaq’s weekly decline, the late-month rally offered a glimmer of hope as tech stocks attempted a comeback.

As August fades into the rearview mirror, the market’s mood shifts from anxiety to cautious optimism.

The recession fears that once loomed large have now receded, replaced by the anticipation of a new chapter in the Fed’s playbook.

In a month that began with trepidation and ended with triumph, the stock market’s performance has been nothing short of a rollercoaster.

But as the saying goes, it’s not about how you start; it’s about how you finish.

And for business investors, August ended on a high note, with September promising a smoother ride ahead.

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Co-Founder & Chief Editor
Jon Morgan, MBA, LLM, has over ten years of experience growing startups and currently serves as CEO and Editor-in-Chief of Venture Smarter. Educated at UC Davis and Harvard, he offers deeply informed guidance. Beyond work, he enjoys spending time with family, his poodle Sophie, and learning Spanish.
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LJ Viveros has 40 years of experience in founding and scaling businesses, including a significant sale to Logitech. He has led Market Solutions LLC since 1999, focusing on strategic transitions for global brands. A graduate of Saint Mary’s College in Communications, LJ is also a distinguished Matsushita Executive alumnus.
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