Philly Fed Employment Index Hits Pandemic-Era Low, Casting Shadows on Job Market


Last updated: August 21, 2024

Philly fed non-manufacturing business outlookThe Philly Fed’s latest non-manufacturing survey reveals a concerning trend: the employment index has plunged to its lowest level since the pandemic’s onset.

While the overall non-manufacturing index showed a robust recovery, climbing to +8.3 from a previous -10.0, the sharp decline in full-time employment raises red flags.

Particularly troubling is the dip among firms planning to cut full-time jobs, signaling potential cracks in what many hoped was a solid employment foundation.

This drop adds an element of uncertainty to the upcoming non-farm payrolls report, leaving economists and business leaders alike wondering if this is a mere blip or a sign of deeper issues in the labor market.

As the numbers unfold, the business community watches closely, hoping that this downturn doesn’t foreshadow broader economic challenges.

The Philly Fed’s survey, though not always a headline grabber, serves as a subtle yet potent reminder that the road to recovery is rarely a straight line.

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Jon Morgan, MBA, LLM, has over ten years of experience growing startups and currently serves as CEO and Editor-in-Chief of Venture Smarter. Educated at UC Davis and Harvard, he offers deeply informed guidance. Beyond work, he enjoys spending time with family, his poodle Sophie, and learning Spanish.
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LJ Viveros has 40 years of experience in founding and scaling businesses, including a significant sale to Logitech. He has led Market Solutions LLC since 1999, focusing on strategic transitions for global brands. A graduate of Saint Mary’s College in Communications, LJ is also a distinguished Matsushita Executive alumnus.
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